Rory’s Reputation Hit as U.S. Open Odds Favor Niemann
Despite finally achieving his long-awaited career Grand Slam with a Masters win earlier this year, Rory McIlroy finds himself under fire as the 2025 U.S. Open approaches. What should have been a season of dominance has instead turned into a storyline clouded by controversy, poor form, and a growing wave of fan support for LIV Golf’s Joaquin Niemann.
PGA Championship Fallout: A Season Shift
McIlroy started the season strong with two early wins and the crowning moment at Augusta. But at the PGA Championship in May, his momentum was derailed. On the opening day, his driver was declared non-conforming—a major blow that saw him fall out of contention and finish a distant T47. Since then, his struggles have continued, including a missed cut at the RBC Canadian Open, prompting questions about his current mindset and competitiveness.
3% vs. 3.1%—Why Niemann Is Ranked Higher
A recent predictive analysis gave McIlroy only a 3% chance of winning the U.S. Open, compared to Joaquin Niemann’s 3.1%. While the margin is small, the message is loud. Niemann, now a major player on the LIV Golf circuit, has surged with four wins this season alone and nearly $17 million in earnings—more than both McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler.
Fans Defend the Numbers: “Reality Hurts”
The golf world has weighed in, with many fans defending the ranking. Some argue McIlroy’s major wins have always come at lower-scoring courses, unlike Oakmont’s brutal setup. Others highlighted his past performance at the venue, where he missed the cut in 2016. One fan pointedly said, “He can’t win without his illegal driver,” while another added, “Reality hurts.”
Niemann’s Quiet Dominance Loudly Noticed
Joaquin Niemann may not be a household name like McIlroy, but his recent form cannot be ignored. Since turning pro in 2018, he’s only had two PGA Tour wins, but he’s become a dominant force in LIV Golf, taking down stars like Bryson DeChambeau and Jon Rahm in multiple events. His tied-8th finish at the PGA Championship proved he can compete on any stage.
The U.S. Open Is Set—Now It’s Time to Deliver
As the 2025 U.S. Open tees off at Oakmont, all eyes will be on Rory McIlroy and Joaquin Niemann—two stars on very different paths. One is fighting to maintain a legacy; the other is climbing fast with nothing to lose. Whether predictions hold true or not, the next few days will determine who truly deserves the spotlight.